Matchup Machine

Luis Garcia

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matchup for C. Sanchez

291st out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Cristopher Sanchez

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matchup for Luis Garcia

488th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Sanchez
2

Model Prediction

Luis Garcia has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 3.1% lower than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%24.3%2.3%4.5%17.4%4.2%20.0%
Garcia-3.1-2.3-0.5-0.7-1.1-0.8+1.2
Sanchez+0.0+1.9+0.1-0.7+2.5-1.9-5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Garcia is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Garcia has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Luis Garcia has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Slider (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Luis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% -2.7% 6%         Walk -3.2% -2.4% 35%         In Play +11.2% +5.1% 39%         On Base +4.1% +1.4% 31%         Hit +7.3% +3.7% 14%         Single +3.2% +2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +2.6% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -1.0%

History

Luis Garcia has 12 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual12122011200.167
Expected From Contact →3.200.000.652.550.266
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-17Groundout6%94%
2024-08-17Strikeout
2024-08-17Groundout4%96%
2024-04-07Single63%37%
2024-04-07Groundout22%77%
2023-06-30Groundout30%9%61%
2023-06-30GIDP2%17%82%
2023-06-30Forceout12%88%
2022-10-01Groundout11%89%
2022-10-01Double32%53%15%
2022-07-05Strikeout
2022-07-05Groundout59%41%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.