Matchup Machine

Luis Garcia

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

285th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Luis Garcia

486th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Mantiply
2

Model Prediction

Luis Garcia has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 3.4% lower than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%24.9%1.6%5.5%17.7%3.3%16.7%
Garcia-3.4-1.7-1.2+0.3-0.8-1.7-2.1
Mantiply0.0+1.8-0.5+0.1+2.2-1.9-6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Garcia is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Garcia has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Luis Garcia has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Luis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% +1.1% 6%         Walk -3.2% -3.1% 35%         In Play +11.2% +2.0% 39%         On Base +4.1% -2.8% 31%         Hit +7.3% +0.3% 14%         Single +3.2% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -0.1%

History

Luis Garcia has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-07-24Sac Bunt

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.