Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

464th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Moderate advantage for Gaddis
3

Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.0% lower than Ramos's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%20.2%4.5%4.6%11.1%6.7%29.6%
Ramos-4.0-3.2+0.4-0.9-2.8-0.9+3.7
Gaddis-0.5+0.7+1.4+0.1-0.7-1.3+2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ramos doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Heliot Ramos has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% -0.6% 5%         Walk -1.9% -1.7% 39%         In Play +0.8% +2.4% 39%         On Base -1.8% -5.5% 31%         Hit +0.0% -3.8% 14%         Single -1.4% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +1.5%

History

Heliot Ramos has 1 plate appearance against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.000.011
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-07Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.