Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for George Kirby

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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George Kirby

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

435th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Kirby
1

Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 3.5% lower than Ramos's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Kirby.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%23.1%3.5%4.9%14.7%4.2%22.2%
Ramos-3.5-0.2-0.6-0.5+0.9-3.4-3.7
Kirby-0.9+0.5+0.8-0.3-0.1-1.3+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ramos has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Heliot Ramos has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% +0.5% 5%         Walk -1.9% -5.1% 39%         In Play +0.8% +4.6% 39%         On Base -1.8% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.0% +1.2% 14%         Single -1.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

History

Heliot Ramos has 3 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.004
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-24Hit By Pitch
2024-08-24Flyout100%
2024-08-24Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.