Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Heliot Ramos

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Heliot Ramos

91st out of 567 (Best 17%)

Extreme advantage for Ramos

Heliot Ramos has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 3.9% higher than Ramos's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	27.4%	3.7%	5.5%	18.3%	7.4%	17.4%
Ramos	+3.9	+4.0	-0.4	+0.1	+4.4	-0.1	-8.5
Ashcraft	-2.1	+0.9	+1.4	+0.4	-0.9	-2.9	+1.0

Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramos has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Heliot Ramos hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Heliot Ramos has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Heliot Ramos hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.1% -6.0% 5%

Walk -1.9% -0.9% 39%

In Play +0.8% +6.9% 39%

On Base -1.8% +7.5% 31%

Hit +0.0% +8.4% 14%

Single -1.4% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

38.9% of Heliot Ramos's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.5% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.9% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -4.1% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.1% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.9% -0.5%

31.0% of Heliot Ramos's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.3% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% -1.4%

8.8% of Heliot Ramos's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.2% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.3% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.7% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° -3.5% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° +1.7% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.6% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.7% -1.1%

Heliot Ramos has 1 plate appearance against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.58	0.00	0.00	0.58			0.583

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-29	GIDP			58%	42%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe