Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

198th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Strong advantage for Ramos
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Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.6% higher than Ramos's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%24.3%3.9%6.4%14.0%8.2%23.8%
Ramos+1.6+0.9-0.1+0.9+0.1+0.6-2.2
Fulmer-1.0+0.5+0.8+0.8-1.2-1.5+2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ramos has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Heliot Ramos has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% -2.6% 5%         Walk -1.9% +2.5% 39%         In Play +0.8% +0.1% 39%         On Base -1.8% +3.9% 31%         Hit +0.0% +1.4% 14%         Single -1.4% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +0.1%

History

Heliot Ramos has 1 plate appearance against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.760.000.000.760.760
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-16Forceout76%24%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.