Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for Aaron Nola

290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

398th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Ramos
1

Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.6% lower than Ramos's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%23.2%4.0%6.5%12.7%6.1%32.3%
Ramos-1.6-0.2-0.1+1.1-1.2-1.4+6.4
Nola-0.2+0.8+1.0+0.3-0.5-1.0+1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ramos has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Heliot Ramos hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% +6.3% 5%         Walk -1.9% -2.8% 39%         In Play +0.8% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit +0.0% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years