Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

26th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Ramos
10

Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.5% higher than Ramos's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.4%30.3%5.0%6.7%18.6%6.1%20.4%
Ramos+5.5+7.0+0.9+1.3+4.8-1.5-5.5
Stroman-1.2+1.4+2.2+0.9-1.7-2.7+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramos has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Heliot Ramos has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.9% -0.8% 39%         In Play +0.8% +3.9% 39%         On Base -1.8% +3.0% 31%         Hit +0.0% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -1.1%

History

Heliot Ramos has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.012
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-31Groundout3%97%
2024-05-31Flyout100%
2024-05-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.