Matchup Machine

Heliot Ramos

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matchup for Martin Perez

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Heliot Ramos

17th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Ramos
10

Model Prediction

Heliot Ramos has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 5.4% higher than Ramos's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.3%27.8%5.0%7.3%15.5%8.5%17.3%
Ramos+5.4+4.5+0.9+1.9+1.7+1.0-8.6
Perez+1.7+2.5+1.9+2.0-1.4-0.8-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Heliot Ramos is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramos doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Heliot Ramos hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Heliot Ramos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.1% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.9% -0.3% 39%         In Play +0.8% +6.4% 39%         On Base -1.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +0.0% +6.3% 14%         Single -1.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

History

Heliot Ramos has 4 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.910.000.020.890.227
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-15Groundout83%17%
2024-09-15Pop Out1%99%
2024-05-21Pop Out99%
2024-05-21Groundout1%4%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.