Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Triston Casas

matchup for Jared Jones

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Triston Casas

263rd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Casas

Triston Casas has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.3% higher than Casas's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	18.9%	3.5%	4.7%	10.7%	14.5%	34.2%
Casas	+1.3	-0.9	+0.4	+0.1	-1.4	+2.2	+3.5
Jones	+2.3	-1.9	+0.6	-0.4	-2.1	+4.3	+5.7

Triston Casas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Casas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Triston Casas has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

18.0% of Triston Casas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.4% +0.6% 43%

In Play -9.1% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.1% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.4% +0.9%

32.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +3.9% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +2.5%

26.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.9% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.0% +0.4%

11.5% of Triston Casas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%