Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Triston Casas

matchup for P. Sandoval

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Patrick Sandoval

matchup for Triston Casas

222nd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Casas

Triston Casas has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 2.2% higher than Casas's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	21.1%	2.8%	5.0%	13.4%	13.2%	30.6%
Casas	+2.2	+1.3	-0.3	+0.4	+1.2	+0.9	-0.2
Sandoval	+2.3	-1.5	+0.2	+0.2	-1.9	+3.8	+6.9

Triston Casas is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Casas has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Triston Casas hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (L)

27%

4-Seam (L)

26%

Slider (L)

25%

Sinker (L)

12%

Curve (L)

10% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

27% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 27%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

Low Ride 32%

+9%

18.0% of Triston Casas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +3.4% 3%

Walk +3.4% 0.0% 43%

In Play -9.1% -3.4% 39%

On Base +2.3% -0.2% 31%

Hit -1.1% -0.1% 14%

Single -2.0% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.4% -1.4%

32.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval induces Standard Grounders at a 39.9% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% +2.2% 9%

Rising Liner +3.9% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.3% -3.2% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.4%

26.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 21.1% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +6.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.9% -3.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.0% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.0% -3.2%

11.5% of Triston Casas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.8% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° -5.3% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% +1.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.5% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +2.2% -1.9%

Triston Casas has 2 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-14	Strikeout
2023-04-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe