Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Triston Casas

matchup for Clarke Schmidt

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Clarke Schmidt

matchup for Triston Casas

245th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Casas

Triston Casas has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.8% higher than Casas's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	18.2%	3.2%	3.8%	11.2%	15.6%	29.7%
Casas	+1.8	-1.5	+0.1	-0.8	-0.9	+3.3	-1.1
Schmidt	+1.9	-1.4	+0.8	-0.3	-1.9	+3.3	+4.7

Triston Casas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Casas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Triston Casas has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

28%

Cutter (R)

24%

Sinker (R)

23%

Kn-Curve (R)

19%

11% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

34% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 34%

+21%

Breaking (R) 47%

+16%

Slow Velo 29%

+14%

Large Break 18%

+13%

18.0% of Triston Casas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +0.3% 3%

Walk +3.4% +1.6% 43%

In Play -9.1% -1.9% 39%

On Base +2.3% -0.3% 31%

Hit -1.1% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.6% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.4% 0.0%

32.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +3.9% -1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.3% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +3.3%

26.3% of Triston Casas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% +2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.9% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.0% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.0% -1.6%

11.5% of Triston Casas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.8% -0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -5.3% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% -1.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% -3.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.5% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +2.2% +4.4%

Triston Casas has 9 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a home run, 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	0.143
Expected From Contact →			1.35	0.88	0.37	0.11			0.193

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Strikeout
2024-09-13	Flyout				99%
2023-09-14	Walk
2023-09-14	Field Error
2023-09-14	Walk
2023-06-11	Flyout	20%	4%		76%
2023-06-11	Flyout				99%
2022-09-22	Home Run	67%	31%	1%	1%
2022-09-14	Groundout			9%	90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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