matchup for Seth Lugo
matchup for Triston Casas
1
Triston Casas has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.2% higher than Casas's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Lugo.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.7% | 18.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 33.6% |
| Casas | +0.2 | -1.0 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +1.2 | +3.2 |
| Lugo | +0.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -3.8 | +5.3 | +8.8 |
Triston Casas is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Casas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Triston Casas has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
29%
Curve (R)
28%
Sinker (R)
17%
Slider (R)
13%
Changeup (R)
6%
10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Triston Casas has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
25%
+20%
Large Break
18%
+13%
Extreme Slow Velo
16%
+11%
Breaking (R)
41%
+10%
17.9% of Triston Casas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+5.6%
+0.9%
3%
Walk
+3.4%
-2.3%
43%
In Play
-9.0%
+1.4%
39%
On Base
+2.2%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
-1.2%
+2.0%
14%
Single
-2.0%
+0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.6%
+1.2%
3%
Home Run
+2.4%
+0.0%
32.2% of Triston Casas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.1%
+1.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.2%
+1.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.4%
-1.7%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.5%
+0.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+3.7%
-1.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.9%
-0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.0%
+2.3%
1%
No Doubter
+1.6%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.1%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
-0.2%
-1.9%
26.5% of Triston Casas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.2%
+1.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.5%
+0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.8%
-1.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.3%
+0.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.2%
-1.4%
11.4% of Triston Casas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 14.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.7%
+2.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.2%
-0.6%
8%
1 to 6°
-5.1%
+1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
0.0%
-2.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.4%
-1.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.1%
+3.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.9%
+0.6%
8%
Above 50°
+2.2%
-2.7%
No History in the last 3 years
