Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ivan Herrera

matchup for Jared Jones

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Ivan Herrera

454th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Leans in favor of Herrera

Ivan Herrera has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.3% lower than Herrera's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	20.3%	2.8%	5.1%	12.4%	11.4%	30.2%
Herrera	-2.3	-2.8	+0.4	-0.2	-3.0	+0.5	+6.6
Jones	+0.7	-0.5	-0.2	+0.1	-0.4	+1.2	+1.6

Ivan Herrera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Herrera has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ivan Herrera has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Ivan Herrera hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Ivan Herrera has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.3% of Ivan Herrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -2.4% +0.4% 4%

Walk +2.6% +0.6% 46%

In Play -0.2% -1.1% 39%

On Base +11.9% -0.1% 31%

Hit +9.3% -0.8% 14%

Single +5.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +5.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +0.9%

37.1% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +2.5%

30.4% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.1% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.0% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -9.4% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.1% +0.4%

13.4% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%