Matchup Machine

Ivan Herrera

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Ivan Herrera

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Herrera
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Model Prediction

Ivan Herrera has a 38.7% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.6% higher than Herrera's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.7%25.6%2.5%6.6%16.5%13.1%22.4%
Herrera+4.6+2.4+0.1+1.3+1.0+2.2-1.2
Rodriguez+3.4+0.9-0.5+0.7+0.8+2.5+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Ivan Herrera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Ivan Herrera has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Ivan Herrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -2.4% +6.5% 4%         Walk +2.6% +4.1% 46%         In Play -0.2% -10.5% 39%         On Base +11.9% +8.4% 31%         Hit +9.3% +4.3% 14%         Single +5.0% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years