Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ivan Herrera

matchup for Seth Lugo

289th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Ivan Herrera

298th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Herrera

Ivan Herrera has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.2% higher than Herrera's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	23.8%	3.0%	5.2%	15.5%	10.1%	25.6%
Herrera	-0.2	+0.6	+0.6	-0.1	+0.1	-0.8	+2.1
Lugo	+1.4	-0.2	-0.2	+0.3	-0.3	+1.6	+0.8

Ivan Herrera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Herrera has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Ivan Herrera has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ivan Herrera hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Ivan Herrera hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.3% of Ivan Herrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -2.4% +0.8% 4%

Walk +2.6% -2.3% 46%

In Play -0.2% +1.4% 39%

On Base +11.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit +9.3% +1.9% 14%

Single +5.0% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +5.1% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +0.1%

37.1% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.3% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -2.2%

30.4% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.1% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.0% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -9.4% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.1% -1.6%

13.4% of Ivan Herrera's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%