Matchup Machine

Ivan Herrera

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matchup for Shelby Miller

322nd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Shelby Miller

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matchup for Ivan Herrera

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Herrera
4

Model Prediction

Ivan Herrera has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 1.8% lower than Herrera's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%21.1%2.9%5.1%13.1%11.2%24.0%
Herrera-1.8-2.0+0.6-0.2-2.3+0.2+0.4
Miller+3.00.0-0.8+0.1+0.7+3.0-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Ivan Herrera is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Herrera has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ivan Herrera has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.3% of Ivan Herrera's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -2.4% +0.3% 4%         Walk +2.6% +0.8% 46%         In Play -0.2% -1.1% 39%         On Base +11.9% -4.9% 31%         Hit +9.3% -5.7% 14%         Single +5.0% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.1% -2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years