Matchup Machine

TJ Friedl

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matchup for Logan Webb

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for TJ Friedl

278th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Moderate advantage for Friedl
4

Model Prediction

TJ Friedl has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.9% higher than Friedl's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%24.1%1.8%5.0%17.2%8.3%16.7%
Friedl+0.9+2.1-0.4+0.3+2.1-1.2-0.3
Webb0.0-0.3-0.6+0.2+0.1+0.3-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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TJ Friedl is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Friedl has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. TJ Friedl has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

9.1% of TJ Friedl's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.2% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.2% -0.8% 4%         Walk +0.7% -2.4% 36%         In Play +8.5% +3.2% 39%         On Base +3.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +2.5% +4.0% 14%         Single +1.6% +2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +2.5% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

History

TJ Friedl has 13 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 13 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual13132011200.154
Expected From Contact →2.220.000.112.110.171
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27GIDP
2025-03-27Single
2025-03-27Strikeout
2024-05-10Strikeout
2024-05-10Groundout11%89%
2024-05-10Double2%62%36%
2024-05-10Groundout4%3%93%
2023-08-30Groundout11%89%
2023-08-30Groundout7%93%
2023-08-30Groundout15%85%
2023-07-17Flyout2%1%97%
2023-07-17Flyout1%98%
2023-07-17Groundout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.