Matchup Machine

TJ Friedl

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for TJ Friedl

20th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Friedl
9

Model Prediction

TJ Friedl has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.5% higher than Friedl's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.8%29.9%1.8%5.4%22.7%7.9%13.1%
Friedl+6.5+7.8-0.3+0.5+7.6-1.3-3.5
Stroman+0.2+1.1-0.9-0.4+2.4-0.9-5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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TJ Friedl is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Friedl has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. TJ Friedl has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of TJ Friedl's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.1% -3.1% 4%         Walk +0.6% -0.8% 36%         In Play +8.5% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.8% +3.0% 31%         Hit +2.2% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.1%

History

TJ Friedl has 5 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.370.000.000.370.093
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-31Groundout2%98%
2023-07-31Walk
2022-10-02Groundout24%75%
2022-10-02Strikeout
2022-10-02Groundout11%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.