Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Jose Berrios

121st out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Taylor Walls

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Walls
1

Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.0% higher than Walls's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%21.7%2.1%4.3%15.3%10.1%22.8%
Walls+1.0+2.2+0.2+0.2+1.8-1.3-3.1
Berrios-0.5-3.0-0.8-0.9-1.3+2.5+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Walls has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% +0.7% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.8% 42%         In Play -6.0% +0.1% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.3% 31%         Hit -4.9% +0.6% 14%         Single -1.7% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.2%

History

Taylor Walls has 9 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 9 with 4 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual990000400.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.000.100.060.018
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-23Groundout2%98%
2024-07-23Strikeout
2023-05-23Strikeout
2023-05-23Pop Out100%
2023-05-23Flyout100%
2022-09-22Strikeout
2022-09-12Strikeout
2022-09-12Flyout99%
2022-09-12Lineout9%3%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.