Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Taylor Walls

549th out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Extreme advantage for Kikuchi
9

Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 24.0% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 6.9% lower than Walls's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.0%17.8%2.0%3.8%12.0%6.2%35.8%
Walls-6.9-1.7+0.1-0.3-1.5-5.2+9.9
Kikuchi-2.6-2.7-0.7-0.9-1.1+0.2+6.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Walls has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% +4.3% 2%         Walk +4.4% -1.4% 42%         In Play -6.0% -2.8% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.9% 31%         Hit -4.9% +0.5% 14%         Single -1.7% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.2%

History

Taylor Walls has 12 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual12122101500.167
Expected From Contact →3.260.520.722.010.271
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-24Strikeout
2023-09-24Single95%5%
2023-05-24Strikeout
2023-05-24Pop Out1%98%
2023-05-24Pop Out1%99%
2023-04-15Home Run52%9%38%
2023-04-15Strikeout
2022-09-25Strikeout
2022-08-03Forceout28%71%
2022-08-03Lineout1%69%30%
2022-06-30Strikeout
2022-06-30Lineout59%7%34%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.