Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Taylor Walls

28th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Walls
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Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.8% higher than Walls's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%25.7%2.0%4.0%19.7%11.1%17.7%
Walls+5.8+6.2+0.1-0.1+6.2-0.4-8.2
Stroman-0.9-3.2-0.7-1.9-0.6+2.3-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Walls has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% -3.1% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.8% 42%         In Play -6.0% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit -4.9% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.7% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -1.1%

History

Taylor Walls has 9 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 9 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual995014000.556
Expected From Contact →4.090.061.082.950.455
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Groundout31%69%
2024-07-21Double67%29%4%
2024-07-10Single2%36%62%
2024-07-10Single2%21%78%
2023-05-29Groundout1%6%93%
2023-05-29Groundout1%21%78%
2023-05-29Flyout6%4%90%
2022-04-20Single11%80%10%
2022-04-20Single20%72%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.