Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Ross Stripling

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for Taylor Walls

53rd out of 567 (Best 10%)

Strong advantage for Walls
6

Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 2.5% higher than Walls's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%26.6%1.7%5.5%19.5%6.8%13.1%
Walls+2.5+7.1-0.3+1.4+6.1-4.6-12.8
Stripling-1.4-2.4-1.0-0.5-0.8+0.9+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Walls has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% +3.2% 2%         Walk +4.4% -2.9% 42%         In Play -6.0% -0.3% 39%         On Base -0.6% -3.9% 31%         Hit -4.9% -0.9% 14%         Single -1.7% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.1%

History

Taylor Walls has 6 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662020100.333
Expected From Contact →1.910.900.840.160.318
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-25Flyout100%
2022-09-25Double18%39%1%42%
2022-09-14Lineout18%13%69%
2022-09-14Strikeout
2022-07-03Double72%25%2%
2022-07-03Flyout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.