Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Martin Perez

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Taylor Walls

86th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Moderate advantage for Walls
5

Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.0% higher than Walls's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%23.0%2.6%4.5%15.9%9.9%19.3%
Walls+2.0+3.5+0.6+0.4+2.5-1.5-6.5
Perez-1.7-2.3-0.5-0.8-1.0+0.6+1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Walls has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% -6.1% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.3% 42%         In Play -6.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.6% +5.9% 31%         Hit -4.9% +6.3% 14%         Single -1.7% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.6%

History

Taylor Walls has 9 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 8 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual984013110.500
Expected From Contact →1.840.000.171.670.230
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Strikeout
2024-08-30Single2%88%10%
2023-06-11Double13%10%77%
2023-06-11Walk
2022-09-16Forceout8%92%
2022-09-16Groundout1%2%97%
2022-09-16Single15%85%
2022-05-31Single41%59%
2022-05-31Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.