Matchup Machine

Taylor Walls

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matchup for Kyle Gibson

54th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Kyle Gibson

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matchup for Taylor Walls

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Walls
1

Model Prediction

Taylor Walls has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 2.0% higher than Walls's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Gibson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%19.0%1.8%3.7%13.5%13.9%21.0%
Walls+2.0-0.5-0.2-0.4+0.1+2.5-4.8
Gibson-1.3-4.5-1.1-1.5-1.9+3.2+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Walls is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Walls has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Taylor Walls has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
19%
   4-Seam (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Taylor Walls's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% -2.5% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.1% 42%         In Play -6.0% +2.6% 39%         On Base -0.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit -4.9% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.7% +1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +1.8% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.4%

History

Taylor Walls has 8 plate appearances against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882002300.250
Expected From Contact →2.660.000.102.560.332
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-08Strikeout
2024-08-08GIDP61%38%
2023-07-20Single1%94%5%
2023-07-20Single7%85%8%
2023-07-20Strikeout
2023-05-08Groundout14%86%
2023-05-08Flyout1%98%
2023-05-08Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.