Matchup Machine

Isaac Paredes

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matchup for Brett de Geus

401st out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Brett de Geus

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matchup for Isaac Paredes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Paredes
9

Model Prediction

Isaac Paredes has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Brett de Geus, which is 4.8% higher than Paredes's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing de Geus.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%22.3%1.9%4.4%16.1%16.6%16.1%
Paredes+4.8+1.5-0.3-0.9+2.7+3.3-2.5
de Geus+3.7-1.8-0.1+0.1-1.7+5.5-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Isaac Paredes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brett de Geus is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Paredes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brett de Geus throws a Sinker 54% of the time. Isaac Paredes has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
54%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Isaac Paredes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Brett de Geus strikes out 11.4% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% -7.5% 2%         Walk +5.2% +3.8% 39%         In Play +2.0% +3.7% 39%         On Base +0.9% +12.0% 31%         Hit -4.4% +8.2% 14%         Single -2.2% +5.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +5.7% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -2.7%

History

Isaac Paredes has 1 plate appearance against Brett de Geus in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111010001.000
Expected From Contact →0.990.180.780.040.990
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-23Double18%78%4%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.