Matchup Machine

Isaac Paredes

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Isaac Paredes

229th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Strong advantage for Paredes
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Model Prediction

Isaac Paredes has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.7% higher than Paredes's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%19.1%2.2%4.8%12.0%16.7%18.7%
Paredes+1.7-1.7+0.0-0.4-1.3+3.4+0.1
Schmidt+3.8-0.5-0.2+0.8-1.1+4.3-6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Isaac Paredes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Paredes has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Isaac Paredes has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Isaac Paredes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% +0.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% +1.6% 39%         In Play +2.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.9% -0.3% 31%         Hit -4.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.4% 0.0%

History

Isaac Paredes has 13 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 11 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual13114103120.364
Expected From Contact →3.000.080.232.690.273
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-10Lineout7%10%82%
2024-05-10GIDP1%5%94%
2024-05-10Walk
2024-04-19GIDP4%95%
2024-04-19Single4%86%10%
2024-04-19Flyout1%98%
2023-08-26Flyout100%
2023-08-26Field Error
2023-08-26Single7%86%8%
2023-05-14Walk
2023-05-14Single77%23%
2022-09-11Strikeout
2022-06-21Home Run8%3%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.