Matchup Machine

Isaac Paredes

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matchup for Jake Latz

413th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Isaac Paredes

27th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Paredes
10

Model Prediction

Isaac Paredes has a 40.3% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 6.2% higher than Paredes's typical expectations, and 5.9% higher than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.3%20.4%1.9%5.8%12.7%19.9%14.9%
Paredes+6.2-0.4-0.3+0.5-0.7+6.6-3.8
Latz+5.9-0.5-0.8+0.9-0.6+6.4-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Isaac Paredes is better vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Paredes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Isaac Paredes has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Isaac Paredes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% -1.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% +6.7% 39%         In Play +2.0% -5.5% 39%         On Base +0.9% +1.7% 31%         Hit -4.4% -5.1% 14%         Single -2.2% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -3.0% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +1.4%

History

Isaac Paredes has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-02Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.