Matchup Machine

Isaac Paredes

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matchup for Aaron Civale

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Aaron Civale

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matchup for Isaac Paredes

511st out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Leans in favor of Civale
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Model Prediction

Isaac Paredes has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 4.5% lower than Paredes's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Civale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%18.6%2.4%4.1%12.1%10.9%18.2%
Paredes-4.5-2.2+0.2-1.2-1.2-2.4-0.4
Civale+0.1-2.8-0.8-0.2-1.8+2.9-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Isaac Paredes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Paredes has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Isaac Paredes has a C grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
32%
   Sinker (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Isaac Paredes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% +0.4% 2%         Walk +5.2% -1.3% 39%         In Play +2.0% +1.0% 39%         On Base +0.9% -0.9% 31%         Hit -4.4% +0.5% 14%         Single -2.2% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years