Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Isaac Paredes

matchup for Jose Berrios

124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

Jose Berrios

matchup for Isaac Paredes

422nd out of 564 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Paredes

Isaac Paredes has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.5% lower than Paredes's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Berrios.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	20.5%	2.2%	5.0%	13.3%	9.9%	18.9%
Paredes	-2.5	+0.9	+0.1	0.0	+0.9	-3.4	+0.1
Berrios	-1.9	-4.1	-0.7	-0.2	-3.2	+2.2	-3.3

Isaac Paredes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Paredes has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Isaac Paredes has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

16%

18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Isaac Paredes has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Isaac Paredes has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 31%

+17%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Very Slow Velo 26%

+12%

10.3% of Isaac Paredes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +0.7% 2%

Walk +5.2% -0.8% 39%

In Play +2.0% +0.1% 39%

On Base +0.9% -0.3% 31%

Hit -4.4% +0.6% 14%

Single -2.2% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +0.2%

29.5% of Isaac Paredes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.9% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.9% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.6% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +7.9% -0.1%

12.2% of Isaac Paredes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.1% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.7% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.5% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.1% +2.1%

13.5% of Isaac Paredes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.8% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -3.9% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.4% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% 0.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.0% +0.5% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +8.5% -0.8%

Isaac Paredes has 14 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 13 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	13	1	1	0	0	4	1	0.077
Expected From Contact →			2.06	0.93	0.16	0.97			0.158

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-23	Walk
2024-07-23	Strikeout
2024-07-23	Groundout		6%	12%	82%
2024-03-28	Groundout		4%	64%	32%
2024-03-28	Pop Out				99%
2024-03-28	Pop Out				100%
2023-05-23	Lineout			1%	98%
2023-05-23	Home Run	93%	2%		5%
2023-05-23	Groundout		2%	3%	95%
2023-04-14	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-04-14	Strikeout
2022-07-01	Strikeout
2022-07-01	Strikeout
2022-07-01	Groundout			5%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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