Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yordan Alvarez

matchup for Jared Jones

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Yordan Alvarez

179th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.0% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 5.4% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.4%	25.6%	5.9%	6.2%	13.5%	10.8%	21.0%
Alvarez	+1.0	+0.6	+1.3	+0.2	-0.9	+0.5	+3.9
Jones	+5.4	+4.8	+2.9	+1.2	+0.7	+0.6	-7.6

Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% +0.4% 4%

Walk +1.8% +0.6% 37%

In Play +7.1% -1.1% 39%

On Base +6.8% -0.1% 31%

Hit +5.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +0.3% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +4.1% +0.9%

27.8% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +2.5%

39.3% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.8% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +0.4%

14.2% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%