Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yordan Alvarez

matchup for Andrew Wantz

426th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Andrew Wantz

matchup for Yordan Alvarez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.4% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Wantz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.0%	22.8%	5.1%	5.4%	12.2%	12.2%	19.1%
Alvarez	-0.4	-2.3	+0.6	-0.6	-2.2	+1.9	+2.0
Wantz	+3.2	+2.5	+1.9	+1.0	-0.4	+0.7	-5.8

Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Alvarez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

45%

Slider (R)

25%

Cutter (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

9% of Andrew Wantz's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

26% of Andrew Wantz's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 26%

+17%

Fastball (R) 69%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Medium Fast Velo 25%

+10%

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% +7.5% 4%

Walk +1.8% +2.0% 37%

In Play +7.1% -9.5% 39%

On Base +6.8% -6.5% 31%

Hit +5.0% -8.5% 14%

Single +0.3% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +4.1% -0.3%

27.8% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz induces Standard Grounders at a 23.8% rate, which is 10.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% -10.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% +9.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -0.6% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +3.1%

39.3% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 24.2% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Wantz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.8% +3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +6.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.2% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -7.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% -0.1%

14.2% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 14.7% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Wantz are hit at this angle, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.2% -6.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.6% -4.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% -0.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.9% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° +2.7% +3.2% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% +5.9% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% +6.1%

Yordan Alvarez has 3 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.05	0.00	0.02	0.03			0.018

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-09	Flyout		2%		97%
2022-07-03	Forceout			3%	97%
2022-07-02	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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