Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yordan Alvarez

matchup for Ryan Weathers

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Yordan Alvarez

445th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Strong advantage for Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.1% lower than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	24.0%	3.9%	5.9%	14.1%	9.3%	17.0%
Alvarez	-2.1	-1.1	-0.7	-0.1	-0.3	-1.0	0.0
Weathers	+3.4	+2.4	+1.8	+0.4	+0.2	+1.0	-7.7

Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Alvarez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% -2.1% 4%

Walk +1.8% -0.6% 37%

In Play +7.1% +2.7% 39%

On Base +6.8% +0.9% 31%

Hit +5.0% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +4.1% -0.5%

27.8% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +1.2%

39.3% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.2% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +1.1%

14.2% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%