Matchup Machine

Yordan Alvarez

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matchup for Brady Singer

416th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Brady Singer

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matchup for Yordan Alvarez

339th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez
10

Model Prediction

Yordan Alvarez has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Brady Singer, which is 0.5% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Singer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%25.2%3.9%6.9%14.4%9.8%16.5%
Alvarez-0.5+0.1-0.7+0.8-0.1-0.6-0.6
Singer+1.4+1.3+1.2+1.5-1.4+0.1-6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brady Singer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brady Singer throws a Sinker 50% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
50%
   Slider (R)
41%

Contact and Outcomes

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Brady Singer strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -0.5% 4%         Walk +1.8% -0.6% 37%         In Play +7.1% +1.1% 39%         On Base +6.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.0% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.3% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +4.1% -0.1%

History

Yordan Alvarez has 9 plate appearances against Brady Singer in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 9 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual994103100.444
Expected From Contact →3.730.720.322.700.414
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-29Single5%60%35%
2024-08-29Lineout6%57%37%
2024-08-29Single43%57%
2024-04-11Strikeout
2024-04-11Field Error
2024-04-11Flyout99%
2022-06-03Single6%79%15%
2022-06-03Home Run71%14%14%
2022-06-03Groundout30%70%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.