Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yordan Alvarez

matchup for Ranger Suarez

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Ranger Suarez

matchup for Yordan Alvarez

141st out of 564 (Best 26%)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez has a 39.6% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 4.1% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 5.5% higher than batters facing Suarez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.6%	26.6%	4.2%	6.2%	16.2%	13.0%	18.0%
Alvarez	+4.1	+1.5	-0.3	+0.1	+1.7	+2.7	+0.9
Suarez	+5.5	+1.8	+1.8	+0.5	-0.5	+3.7	-6.5

Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Alvarez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

33%

4-Seam (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Curve (L)

12%

Cutter (L)

13% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-3%

33% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Extreme Break 34%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+15%

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% +0.1% 4%

Walk +1.8% -1.2% 37%

In Play +7.1% +1.1% 39%

On Base +6.8% +1.9% 31%

Hit +5.0% +3.1% 14%

Single +0.3% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +2.2% 3%

Home Run +4.1% -0.9%

27.8% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +1.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% +1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% -2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -6.2% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -1.1%

39.3% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.8% +3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +2.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.2% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% -2.9%

14.2% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at this angle, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.2% +9.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.6% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% +1.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.9% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +2.7% -3.6% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% -4.4%

Yordan Alvarez has 5 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	2	0	2	0	2	0	0.400
Expected From Contact →			1.44	0.47	0.95	0.02			0.289

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-11-01	Groundout
2022-11-01	Strikeout
2022-10-28	Strikeout
2022-10-04	Double	29%	47%	1%	24%
2022-10-04	Double	18%	48%	1%	32%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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