Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yordan Alvarez

matchup for Erick Fedde

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Erick Fedde

matchup for Yordan Alvarez

112th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 2.6% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 5.9% higher than batters facing Fedde.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.0%	27.4%	4.7%	6.1%	16.5%	10.7%	13.6%
Alvarez	+2.6	+2.3	+0.1	+0.1	+2.1	+0.3	-3.5
Fedde	+5.9	+4.4	+2.1	+0.8	+1.5	+1.5	-5.7

Yordan Alvarez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

Slider (R)

11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Yordan Alvarez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Break 14%

+9%

9.3% of Yordan Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% -0.7% 4%

Walk +1.8% -1.3% 37%

In Play +7.1% +2.1% 39%

On Base +6.8% +0.7% 31%

Hit +5.0% +2.1% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +4.1% 0.0%

27.8% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.7% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.2% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +2.1%

39.3% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.0% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.8% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.2% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.0% +3.2%

14.2% of Yordan Alvarez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.2% +2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.6% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.9% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +2.7% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% +1.0%

Yordan Alvarez has 2 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00			0.009

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-14	Walk
2022-05-14	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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