Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Wallner

matchup for Jared Jones

222nd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Matt Wallner

240th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Matt Wallner has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.9% higher than Wallner's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	17.6%	4.0%	5.2%	8.5%	13.6%	38.7%
Wallner	+0.9	-0.3	+0.5	+0.7	-1.5	+1.2	+3.3
Jones	+0.2	-3.2	+1.0	+0.1	-4.3	+3.4	+10.1

Matt Wallner is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wallner has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Matt Wallner has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.2% +0.4% 3%

Walk +2.8% +0.6% 46%

In Play -15.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base -2.0% -0.1% 31%

Hit -4.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -4.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +3.0% +0.9%

27.1% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.3% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +5.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +6.1% +2.5%

36.0% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.1% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +0.4%

8.7% of Matt Wallner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%