Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Wallner

matchup for Corbin Burnes

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

Corbin Burnes

matchup for Matt Wallner

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Burnes

Matt Wallner has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 2.1% lower than Wallner's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Burnes.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	16.6%	2.8%	4.5%	9.3%	11.7%	34.4%
Wallner	-2.1	-1.3	-0.6	0.0	-0.7	-0.8	-1.0
Burnes	-1.5	-5.2	+0.4	+0.1	-5.7	+3.7	+11.2

Matt Wallner is much better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wallner has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

52%

Curve (R)

19%

Slider (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

24% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

47% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 47%

+23%

Fast Velo 36%

+21%

Small Break 31%

+20%

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.2% +3.2% 3%

Walk +2.8% -1.6% 46%

In Play -15.0% -1.6% 39%

On Base -2.0% -3.4% 31%

Hit -4.8% -1.8% 14%

Single -4.1% -0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% -0.2% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -0.8%

27.1% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% lower than the league average. Corbin Burnes induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.3% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +5.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +6.1% 0.0%

36.0% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.1% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -4.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% -0.6%

8.7% of Matt Wallner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%