Matchup Machine

Matt Wallner

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

25th out of 436 (Best 7%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Matt Wallner

398th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Cortes Jr.
5

Model Prediction

Matt Wallner has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 2.0% lower than Wallner's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%17.1%3.5%4.4%9.2%11.3%38.8%
Wallner-2.0-0.8+0.1-0.1-0.8-1.2+3.4
Cortes Jr.-3.1-4.7+0.2-1.0-3.8+1.6+14.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Wallner is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wallner has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.2% -0.1% 3%         Walk +2.8% -0.6% 46%         In Play -15.0% +0.6% 39%         On Base -2.0% -2.1% 31%         Hit -4.8% -1.6% 14%         Single -4.1% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +3.0% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years