Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Wallner

matchup for Erick Fedde

191st out of 436 (Best 45%)

Erick Fedde

matchup for Matt Wallner

140th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Moderate advantage for Wallner

Matt Wallner has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 1.8% higher than Wallner's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Fedde.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	18.9%	3.8%	4.5%	10.6%	13.3%	28.7%
Wallner	+1.8	+1.0	+0.4	0.0	+0.6	+0.8	-6.7
Fedde	+0.1	-4.0	+1.2	-0.9	-4.4	+4.1	+9.5

Matt Wallner is much better vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wallner has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

Slider (R)

11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Break 14%

+9%

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.2% -0.7% 3%

Walk +2.8% -1.3% 46%

In Play -15.0% +2.1% 39%

On Base -2.0% +0.7% 31%

Hit -4.8% +2.1% 14%

Single -4.1% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +3.0% 0.0%

27.1% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.3% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +5.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -2.8% 3%

Pop up +6.1% +2.1%

36.0% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.1% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +3.2%

8.7% of Matt Wallner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.9% +2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.9% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -5.5% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +3.8% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +3.4% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +9.5% +1.0%

Matt Wallner has 8 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	1	0	0	1	3	1	0.143
Expected From Contact →			1.10	0.00	0.22	0.87			0.157

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-29	Flyout		21%		78%
2025-03-29	Strikeout
2025-03-29	Field Error
2024-08-25	Flyout				99%
2024-08-25	Walk
2024-08-25	Strikeout
2024-07-10	Strikeout
2024-07-10	Single			86%	13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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