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Matt Wallner

matchup for Miles Mikolas

59th out of 436 (Best 14%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Matt Wallner

193rd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Wallner

Matt Wallner has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.4% higher than Wallner's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	24.2%	3.9%	5.8%	14.4%	5.8%	31.9%
Wallner	-0.4	+6.2	+0.5	+1.3	+4.4	-6.7	-3.4
Mikolas	-2.3	-3.9	+0.6	-0.7	-3.8	+1.6	+11.4

Matt Wallner is much better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Wallner has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Matt Wallner has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.2% -3.3% 3%

Walk +2.8% -3.9% 46%

In Play -15.0% +7.2% 39%

On Base -2.0% -0.6% 31%

Hit -4.8% +3.3% 14%

Single -4.1% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +3.0% +0.0%

27.1% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.3% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +5.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +6.1% -0.2%

36.0% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +1.1%

8.7% of Matt Wallner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.9% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.9% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -5.5% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +3.8% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +3.4% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +9.5% -2.1%

Matt Wallner has 3 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.99	0.04	0.58	0.36			0.330

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-01	Double		54%	36%	10%
2023-08-01	Flyout	3%	3%		94%
2023-08-01	Flyout	1%	2%		97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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