Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Wallner

matchup for Martin Perez

27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Matt Wallner

189th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Wallner

Matt Wallner has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.8% higher than Wallner's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	19.1%	3.3%	3.8%	12.1%	13.1%	28.7%
Wallner	+1.8	+1.2	-0.1	-0.7	+2.1	+0.7	-6.7
Perez	-2.4	-6.2	+0.2	-1.6	-4.9	+3.8	+10.3

Matt Wallner is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wallner doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Matt Wallner hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Matt Wallner has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

21.8% of Matt Wallner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.2% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +12.2% -6.1% 3%

Walk +2.8% -0.3% 46%

In Play -15.0% +6.4% 39%

On Base -2.0% +5.9% 31%

Hit -4.8% +6.3% 14%

Single -4.1% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -0.6%

27.1% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.3% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.3% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -3.4% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +5.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +4.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +6.1% -0.9%

36.0% of Matt Wallner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -7.1% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +0.9%

8.7% of Matt Wallner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.9% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.9% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -5.5% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +3.8% -1.4% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +3.4% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +9.5% -2.1%

Matt Wallner has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.07	0.00	0.00	0.07			0.024

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-02	Groundout			2%	98%
2023-08-25	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-08-25	Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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