Matchup Machine

Trenton Brooks

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Trenton Brooks

31st out of 567 (Best 6%)

Leans in favor of Brooks
2

Model Prediction

Trenton Brooks has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.6% higher than Brooks's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%25.0%2.2%4.6%18.2%6.8%20.4%
Brooks+5.6+6.4+0.1+0.6+5.7-0.9-9.7
Stroman-5.8-3.9-0.5-1.2-2.1-1.9+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Trenton Brooks hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

21.5% of Trenton Brooks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout -2.2% -3.1% 7%         Walk +3.2% -0.8% 64%         In Play -0.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base -9.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit -12.5% +3.8% 14%         Single -5.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -5.0% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -1.1%

History

Trenton Brooks has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.640.000.010.630.640
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-31Single63%36%
2024-05-31Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.