Luke Raley has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.4% higher than Raley's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Bradley.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 30.3% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 31.4% |
Raley | -0.4 | +0.4 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +1.0 | -0.9 | +1.7 |
Bradley | -0.4 | -0.8 | +0.9 | +0.0 | -1.6 | +0.4 | +5.1 |
Luke Raley is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raley has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luke Raley has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
18.9% of Luke Raley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Luke Raley has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.019 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-24 | Groundout | 2% | 2% | 96% | |
2024-06-24 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.