Matchup Machine

Luke Raley

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matchup for Taj Bradley

231st out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Luke Raley

353rd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Bradley
1

Model Prediction

Luke Raley has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.4% higher than Raley's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%21.8%3.4%4.9%13.5%8.5%31.4%
Raley-0.4+0.4-0.1-0.4+1.0-0.9+1.7
Bradley-0.4-0.8+0.9+0.0-1.6+0.4+5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Luke Raley is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raley has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luke Raley has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

18.9% of Luke Raley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.2% +3.2% 5%         Walk -1.0% +0.4% 42%         In Play -6.3% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.3% -1.3% 31%         Hit -2.3% -1.6% 14%         Single -2.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.4% +1.2%

History

Luke Raley has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.020.020.019
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-24Groundout2%2%96%
2024-06-24Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.