Matchup Machine

      Luke Raley

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      matchup for G. Cleavinger

      178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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      Garrett Cleavinger

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      matchup for Luke Raley

      326th out of 564 (Worst 42%)

      Leans in favor of Raley
      1

      Model Prediction

      Luke Raley has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 1.2% higher than Raley's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Cleavinger.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Luke Raley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raley doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Luke Raley has a B grade against left-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
      41%
         4-Seam (L)
      32%
         Cutter (L)
      13%
         Sinker (L)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      18.6% of Luke Raley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.7% +4.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% +3.9% 42%         In Play -6.3% -8.2% 39%         On Base -2.4% +3.3% 31%         Hit -2.0% -0.6% 14%         Single -2.5% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.6% +0.3%

      History

      Luke Raley has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-25Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.