Matchup Machine

Luke Raley

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

165th out of 436 (Best 39%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Luke Raley

223rd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Raley
4

Model Prediction

Luke Raley has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.1% higher than Raley's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%20.3%3.7%4.4%12.2%12.4%28.1%
Raley+2.1-1.1+0.2-0.9-0.3+3.1-1.6
Anderson-0.9-1.9+0.8-0.8-1.9+1.0+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Luke Raley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raley doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Luke Raley hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.9% of Luke Raley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.2% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.0% 42%         In Play -6.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.3% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.4% -0.2%

History

Luke Raley has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.220.000.020.200.055
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-22Groundout2%20%78%
2024-07-22Strikeout
2023-08-18Strikeout
2023-08-18Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.