Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Luke Raley

matchup for Chris Sale

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

Chris Sale

matchup for Luke Raley

547th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Strong advantage for Sale

Luke Raley has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 4.9% lower than Raley's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Sale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	19.1%	2.3%	5.5%	11.3%	6.7%	42.1%
Raley	-4.9	-2.3	-1.3	+0.1	-1.2	-2.6	+12.4
Sale	-3.8	-3.2	+0.2	-0.4	-3.1	-0.6	+10.6

Luke Raley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Raley doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Luke Raley hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

39%

Slider (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

15%

8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Luke Raley hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Luke Raley hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 46%

+30%

Large Drop 28%

+23%

Extreme Slow Velo 22%

+13%

Breaking (L) 38%

+8%

18.9% of Luke Raley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +7.2% +11.2% 5%

Walk -1.0% -2.1% 42%

In Play -6.3% -9.1% 39%

On Base -3.3% -4.6% 31%

Hit -2.3% -2.5% 14%

Single -2.6% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +2.4% -0.6%

36.9% of Luke Raley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.5% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.7% +0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -6.2% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.2% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.4% -0.9% 3%

Pop up +3.5% -0.5%

27.0% of Luke Raley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.6% +2.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.6% +3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.7% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.1% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.7% -2.8%

9.4% of Luke Raley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%