Matchup Machine

Nicky Lopez

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Nicky Lopez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Lopez
5

Model Prediction

Nicky Lopez has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 3.4% higher than Lopez's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.0%22.2%1.1%3.5%17.6%14.8%19.2%
Lopez+3.4-2.4-0.3-0.8-1.2+5.8+2.6
Palencia+2.2+2.7-1.3-0.3+4.3-0.6-8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Nicky Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lopez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Nicky Lopez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Nicky Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.0% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.0% +4.4% 4%         Walk +0.8% +3.4% 36%         In Play +8.2% -7.8% 39%         On Base +4.6% -0.7% 31%         Hit +3.8% -4.2% 14%         Single +2.9% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years