Matchup Machine

Nicky Lopez

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Nicky Lopez

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Leans in favor of Lopez
2

Model Prediction

Nicky Lopez has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.3% lower than Lopez's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%25.0%1.0%4.9%19.1%7.2%16.8%
Lopez-1.3+0.4-0.3+0.5+0.3-1.8+0.3
Weathers+2.3+3.4-1.1-0.7+5.2-1.1-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Nicky Lopez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lopez has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nicky Lopez has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Nicky Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.0% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.8% -0.6% 36%         In Play +8.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base +4.6% +0.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years