Matchup Machine

Nicky Lopez

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matchup for Matt Festa

310th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for Nicky Lopez

294th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez
4

Model Prediction

Nicky Lopez has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 0.2% higher than Lopez's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%25.0%1.4%5.4%18.3%8.3%17.1%
Lopez-0.2+0.4+0.0+1.0-0.6-0.7+0.5
Festa+2.5+1.7-1.5-0.4+3.6+0.8-8.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Nicky Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lopez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Nicky Lopez has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Nicky Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.0% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.0% +2.6% 4%         Walk +0.8% +3.5% 36%         In Play +8.2% -6.1% 39%         On Base +4.6% +0.8% 31%         Hit +3.8% -2.7% 14%         Single +2.9% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years